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Budget 2010 will be progressive yet defensive, feels Ganesha by Dharmesh Joshi

Budget 2010 is just around the corner and everyone is hoping to get some relief from inflation, in general, during the Union Budget for 2010 to be presented by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee in the Lok Sabha on 26th February. The common man has a lot to expect from the government in terms of sops and tax cuts. The industry experts are divided over whether our Finance Minister will fulfill the wishes of citizens or not.

Ganesha predicts Budget 2010 with the help of Vedic Astrology.

Ganesha anticipates that this year's Budget will boost the floundering economy by focusing on fixing infrastructure, generating rural employment and providing incentives to sick sectors.

Horoscope of Independent India shows that Sun is in Cancer and transiting Sun is passing through 10th House of Aquarius and is in conjunct with Venus, Jupiter, and Mercury. Here the 10th House also represents the government's natal House.
Also, as Sun is in the Satatarka constellation in 3rd pad and Satatarka represents Rahu on the day of Budget, Government of India is likely to take a strong stance on petroleum and gas products, silver, lead and steel. This budget is likely to have some bad news for home-makers as price of LPG shoots further up. The hike is a certainty as constellations are not supporting the product. Moreover, the Finance Minister may have to take some harsh decisions on pesticides. Power sector may experience the heavy shocks in the budget; products where atomic and other high maintenance source of energy are utilised may become more expensive. Electronic items like refrigerator and TV are likely to become a little more expensive too. Foreign liquor and beverages may also get dearer.

India's Natal Moon is posited in Cancer. Moreover, on the Budget day, transiting Moon will be in conjunction with Natal moon in Cancer sign. This conjunction will take place in Pushya constellation in the 2nd pad. Cotton, wheat, turmeric, cable, machinery, chemicals, colors, fat will receive some valuable favour from the FM.

Natal Mars is posited in the 2nd House of Gemini and transiting Mars is passing through Cancer sign in the 2nd pad of Pushya constellation. Mars is conjunct with natal Moon, Mercury, Saturn, Venus and Sun. This suggests major reforms in the Railway Budget. The changes in prices of products like ghee, honey, computers, radios and jewellery.

Transiting Mercury and Venus will be in conjunction in the 10th House. Finance Minister may present the Budget keeping the Congress's political agenda in mind. In this situation, Finance Minister may lionize Import-Export, Foreign Trade, National Growth and Rural Advancement. The Supreme Court may be bestowed with more powers. Some relief in Insurance sector is expected. Education will be affordable, but higher education will be pricey.

Jupiter will be transiting through the 10th House in Aquarius sign and 3rd pad of Satatarka constellation. As Jupiter is Lord of 8th and 11th Houses, Medical Policy, Health Department, Govt Loans, Bonds, Govt Securities may not receive expected benefits. Sandalwood, Gold, Diamond Jewellery and Perfumes may become costly.

Venus, Lord of the Ascendant and the 6th House of the natal chart of Independent India, will be transiting from 10th House. Therefore, Textile, Butter Milk, Betel Nuts, Liquid Medicine, Land Developers, Liquor will be in focus. During the budget, the Centre may announce new health-related programme, and upgrading of Army, Air-Force, Civil Services, Medical Services and internal security.

Saturn will transit through Virgo in Utarafalguni constellation. This will inspire our Prime Minister and Finance Minister to take some bold steps to curb inflation and improve GDP. However, despite some progressive steps, they may not get due credit. Saturn will trigger several changes in Grains, Edible Oils, Vegetables, Plastic, Mining Industry and Drug Manufacturing.
The 5th House represents stock market. After budget, there is likely to be a mood of caution at the bourses.

Moreover, Transiting Sun will be in 10th House of Independent India's chart. Finance Minister is likely to address Tax Accumulation, Revenue Deficit, Fixed Deposit, Foreign Direct Investment Flow, GDP rate. But all this will not give any respite to the people. The central government's policy to play safe may not work this time.

India has Natal Mahadasha of Sun - Antardasha is Moon Pratiantardasha Jupiter. Moreover, India is under the influence of Sun's Mahadasha. Sun is Sukkesh, therefore Tax Collection, Corporate Tax and Agriculture sector may see a tax improvement.

Let's have a sector-wise look at the budget:

Information Technology (IT)

As Transiting Sun is conjunct with Venus, Jupiter and Mercury, the government may have to give importance to the IT sector. The Sun is in Satatarka constellation, which is represented by Rahu, and will be influencing IT sector. Thus, if IT is ignored this time, the sector may suffer a setback. Therefore, IT should have a special mention in the budget. Research and development in the Information Sector may get further boost.

Very Active, high volatility and fluctuation from 14/04/2010 to 27/05/2010

Automobile

Automobile sector is seeing a strong position of Venus and Mercury. So, this time automobile industry may receive some direct benefits. Ganesha also sees some progressive steps from the Finance Minister. Auto sector will rejoice the budget announcements and the industry has a bright future in India.

Very active, high fluctuation from 22/06/2010 to 13/07/2010

Pharmaceutical

Sun represent the Pharma Sector. Transiting Sun is going to enter 10th House of Independent India's chart. India has Natal Mahadasha of Sun and Finance Minister will take decisive steps to encourage Pharma Industry, especially in their offshore undertakings, feels Ganesha. But the overall impact of the budget on this sector will be fairly neutral.

Very Active, high volatility and wide fluctuation from 04/03/2010 to 30/03/2010

Retail

The Finance Minister's briefcase is likely to hold a substantial promise for this sector. Policies determining the quality of material, gradation and consumer protection are likely to be formulated or consolidated.

Very Active, high volatility and wide fluctuation from 30/09/2010 to 01/11/2010

Banking

Mercury is the planet that rules the banking sector. Transiting Mercury passing through the 10th House has become Very Strong. Moreover, decisive steps are expected to bring together all government and semi-government banks. The idea of Mega Banking Corporation is likely to get a boost. They can borrow funds at lower rates from international Banks and depositories. However, Mercury posited in the Dhanistha constellation is unrewarding and suggests a possibility of confusion in this sector. Also, Gemini sign is affected by Ketu and Virgo sign is affected by Saturn, so lower trading income and week credit growth will hurt the banking sector.

Very Active, high volatility and wide fluctuation from 14/06/2010 TO 24/06/2010

Infrastructure

Mars is transiting over natal Moon, Sun, Saturn, Mercury and Venus in the 3rd House. Mars is the lord of 12th House. Mars is transiting through 2nd pad of Pushya constellation and is retrograde. Thus, National Highways, Railways and Airport Authority of India can get a better security system. But, overall they may not be too happy with the budget. Privatisation and modernisation for Metros and Tier "" II cities will stay on course. With transiting Ketu afflicting Natal Mars, expect some decisive steps taken by the FM on the country's leading ports.

Very Active, high volatility and wide fluctuation from 26/05/2010 TO 21/06/2010

Metal and Steel

Saturn, the Lord of destiny and industries, will be transiting through the 5th House in India's birth chart. The 5th House represents stock market, investment, production capacity of India. Saturn is passing through 4th pad of Utarafalguni constellation. From astrological point of view, the slow moving Saturn will put pressure on base metal prices.

Very Active, high volatility and wide fluctuation from 02/05/2010 to 19/05/2010

Entertainment

Venus represents the Entertainment sector. The conjunction of Venus with Jupiter, Sun, Mercury and Venus pass through the 2nd pad of Purvabhadra. Growth of Radio Stations is likely to continue. Broadcasting Companies may express some concern. But overall, expect announcement of simpler and favourable Tax policies by the FM.

Very Active, high volatility and wide fluctuation from 09/09/2010 to 08/11/2010

Telecom

Mercury represents the Telecom sector. Mercury, the Lord of the 2nd and 5th House, is posited in the 3rd House of India's birth chart.
The 3rd House represents telecommunication. So in India telecommunication is always going to be a profiting sector. Transiting mercury passes through 10th House of the 3rd pad of Dhanistha constellation. This indicates a lot of unexpected changes in this sector. However, Custom Duty is likely to remain untouched by the central government.

Very Active, high volatility and wide fluctuation from 25/06/2010 TO 07/10/2010

Fertilizer, Pesticide, Agriculture

Rahu is transiting in 8th House of India's natal horoscope. So suicidal rates are likely to increase this year. Although not by much, those dealing with seeds, agro-chemicals and drip-irrigation may get some relief. However, as Rahu dominates the entire horoscope of Independent India this year, pesticides may be the major point of debate in the Parliament.
Very Active, high volatility and wide fluctuation from 05/08/2010 TO 25/08/2010

Cement & Real Estate

Mars is transiting over natal Moon, Sun, Saturn, Mercury, and Venus in 3rd House. Mars is the Lord of 12th House. Mars is transiting through the 2nd pad of Pushya Constellation. Since natal Mars is afflicted by transiting Ketu, there can be a major change in overall expenditure. All in all, the growth story of India Inc will continue. The Finance Minster will play safe.

Very Active, high volatility and wide fluctuation from 26/05/2010 to 21/06/2010 and 01/11/2010 to 30/12/2010

Conclusion
Overall, the conjunction of Sun, Mercury, Venus, Jupiter in their transit through the 10th House on the day of the Budget indicates that the finance minister may try and reconsider tax accumulation, revenue deficit, fixed deposit, flow of FDIs, and GDP growth rate. Disinvestment of public sector units is also expected to be on the agenda. He will try to play safe and will make efforts to sustain the existing growth rate. Prime Minister Manmohan Singh and Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee will present a progressive budget for the country but will fail to garner appreciation for the same. Ganesha advises investors to trade cautiously in 2010.

Very Active, high volatility and wide fluctuation. March 9,10, 11, 15 , 22, 23,29

Sectors that will remain in news 2010: Pharmaceuticals, Petrochemicals, Plastic, Shipping, Infrastructure and Power

Scrips that will remain in news in 2010: -
01/03 /2010 to 15/03/2010
Indiabulls
India Infoline
Edelweiss Cap
Rel Capital Ven
Motilal Oswal
Future Capital
IL&FS
Geojit BNP
Network 18
Nalwa Sons Inv
Apollo Sindhoor
Consol Finvest
Emkay Global
Indbank Merchan
Keynote Corp Se
Khandwala
Transwarranty

16/03/2010 to 13/04/2010
NALCO
Hindalco
Madras Aluminium
Century Extr
India Foils
Man Aluminum

14/04 /2010 to 09/05/2010
Ballarpur Ind
Tamil Newsprint
West Coast Pape
JK Paper
AP Paper Mills
Seshasayee Pape
Rama Newsprint
Sirpur Paper
Pudumjee Pulp
Star Paper
Shreyans Ind
Magnum Ventures
Pudumjee Ind
Malu Paper
Ruchira Papers

10/05/2010 to 20/05/2010
Titan Industries
Jain Irrigation
CRISIL
Guj NRE Coke
Info Edge
Dredging Cor
Thomas Cook
Advanta
Gateway Distri
Tube Investment
Century Plyboard
ICRA
Austral Coke
Karuturi Global
Nitin Fire Prot
Kaveri Seed Co
Vesuvius India
V-Guard Ind
Carol Info
Greenply Ind
Webel SL Energy
Venkys
LT Foods
IFGL Refractory
Jocil
Vimta Labs
Aries Agro
Archidply Indus
Global Vectra
AI Champdany
Champdany Ind
Atlas Cycles
Mangalam Timber
Novopan
Pochiraju Ind
Kitply Ind
Nuchem
Madhav Marbles
Uniply Ind

21/05/2010 to 19/06/2010
Videocon Indust
Mirc Electronic
BPL
Jindal Photo
MVL Industries
Salora Inter
EIH
Indian Hotels
Jaypee Hotels
Hotel Leela
Asian Hotels
Taj GVK Hotels
Oriental Hotels
Advani Hotels
EIH Assoc Hotel
Royal Orchid
Viceroy Hotels
Bhagwati Banque
Kamat Hotels
Hotel Rugby

20/06/2010 to 28/06/2010
HCL Info
Redington
Moser Baer
CMC
Bartronics
D-Link (India)
Spice Mobiles
MRO-TEK
TVS Electronics
Zenith Computer
ORG Informatics

29/06/2010 to 06/07/2010
United Phos
Tata Chemicals
Pidilite Ind
Guj Gas
Guj Flourochem
BOC India
Himadri Chem
Guj Alkali
BASF
Solar Ind
Guj Heavy Chem
SI Group (India
Aarti Industrie
Alkali Metals
Hind Org Chem
India Glycols
Gwalior Chem
Foseco India
Phillips Carbon
Navin Fluorine
Kanoria Chem
Aditya Birla Ch
Standard Ind
Punjab Chemical
IG Petro
Thirumalai Chem
Jayant Agro-Org
Alkyl Amines
Balaji Amines
IFB Agro
Chemfab Alkalie
Sree Rayalaseem
Vinyl Chemicals
SRHHL Industry

07/07/2010 to 25/07/2010
Bata India
Mirza Intl
Liberty Shoes
Crew B.O.S.
Bhartiya Inter

26/07/2010 to 11/08/2010
Apollo Hospital
Opto Circuits
Fortis Health
Indraprastha
Lotus Eye Care

12/08/2010 to 31/08/2010
HMT
Escorts
Punj Tractors

01/09/2010 to 18/09/2010
Bharti Airtel
Reliance Comm
Idea Cellular
Tata Comm
TataTeleservice
MTNL
Spice Comm
Tulip Telecom
Nu Tek India
Goldstone Infra

19/09/2010 to 26/09/2010
Rashtriya Chem
Nat Fert
Coromandel Fert
Fert and Chem
Chambal Fert
Nagarjuna Fert
GNFC
GSFC
Indo Gulf
Zuari Inds
Deepak Fert
Oswal ChemandFe
Mangalore Chem
Madras Fert
SPIC

27/09/2010 to 17/10/2010
Nahar Spinning
Pioneer Embroi
TT

18/10/2010 to 24/10/2010
ABB
Crompton Greave
Havells India
Techno Electric
HBL Power
Emco
Bharat Bijlee
Numeric Powe
Honda Siel
Birla Power Sol
Easun Reyrl
WS Industries
IMP Powers
Indo Asian Fuse
De Nora India
Igarashi Motors

25/10/2010 to 03/11/2010
Cairn India
GAIL
Reliance Natura
Aban Offshore
Hind Oil Explor
Shiv Vani Oil
Jindal Drilling
Dolphin Offshor
Selan Explore
Alphageo

Ganesha's Grace
Dharmeshh Joshi
The GaneshaSpeaks Team

www.ganeshaspeaks.com

Article Source: http://www.earticlesonline.com/Article/Budget-2010-will-be-progressive-yet-defensive--feels-Ganesha-/720884